Sport Picks
Manchester United vs Liverpool
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Old Trafford, Manchester 
Match Events
6'
6'
Cunha M.
14'
14'
Sesko B.
46'
46'
Sub
Sesko B. In: Diallo A.
Out: Sesko B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Manchester United and Liverpool finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manchester United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Manchester United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Manchester United's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Manchester United Clean Sheet 20%
Liverpool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manchester United | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Premier League
Manchester United vs Liverpool
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Manchester United
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
Liverpool vs Manchester United
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 Premier League
Manchester United vs Liverpool
0:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Manchester United vs Liverpool
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manchester United Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunha M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sesko B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Liverpool Compare
Top Goalscorer Szoboszlai D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gakpo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manchester United 85 / 100
Liverpool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manchester United Liverpool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MNU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Manchester United's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Liverpool has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Manchester United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Manchester United VS Liverpool
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Manchester United
(Home) 18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
24 May
Brighton
0 : 3 Manchester United
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
09 May
Sunderland
0 : 0 Manchester United
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Manchester United
0 : 1 Wrexham
17 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Nottingham
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
27 Apr
Manchester United
2 : 1 Brentford
13 Apr
Manchester United
1 : 2 Leeds
Page 1 of 4
Liverpool
(Away) 24 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Brentford
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
09 May
Liverpool
1 : 1 Chelsea
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
25 Apr
Liverpool
3 : 1 Crystal Palace
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Aston Villa
4 : 2 Liverpool
03 May
Manchester United
3 : 2 Liverpool
19 Apr
Everton
1 : 2 Liverpool
08 Apr
PSG
2 : 0 Liverpool
04 Apr
Manchester City
4 : 0 Liverpool
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)