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Mandel United vs Belisia Bilzen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
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Match Events

85' Event
Van Vaerenbergh D.

AI Match Summary

Mandel United in this National Division 1 - VV matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandel United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mandel United
15%
Draws
42%
Belisia Bilzen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mandel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mandel United have won more games recently than Belisia Bilzen.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 16%
Belisia Bilzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandel United Belisia Bilzen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Mandel United vs Belisia Bilzen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Vaerenbergh D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Belisia Bilzen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandel United 31 / 100
Belisia Bilzen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandel United Belisia Bilzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mandel United scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Belisia Bilzen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Away concern: Belisia Bilzen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mandel United VS Belisia Bilzen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandel United

(Home)
03 Oct
Mandel United
1 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
13 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 0
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

Belisia Bilzen

(Away)
03 Oct
Mandel United
1 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
30 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 1
Heist
20 Sept
Knokke
3 : 2
Belisia Bilzen
13 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
1 : 0
Merelbeke
06 Sept
Belisia Bilzen
3 : 4
Houtvenne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 7 6 0 1 19:8 18
2 SK Roeselare 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
8 Hoogstraten 7 2 3 2 18:14 9
9 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
11 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 7 0 3 4 6:16 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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