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Mandel United vs Dessel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mandel United host Dessel in the National Division 1 - VV. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Dessel have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Mandel United have conceded 0.82 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Dessel slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.50) back Mandel United to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Mandel United
15%
Draws
37%
Dessel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mandel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mandel United come out ahead of Dessel on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mandel United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 16%
Dessel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandel United Dessel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.82 2
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 National Division 1
Dessel vs Mandel United
3:0
Sep 10, 2022 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Dessel
0:2
Apr 6, 2022 National Division 1
Dessel vs Mandel United
2:2
Oct 9, 2021 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Dessel
0:3
Feb 27, 2021 National Division 1
Mandel United vs Dessel
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandel United 48 / 100
Dessel 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandel United Dessel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mandel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandel United found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Dessel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Mandel United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mandel United VS Dessel
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandel United

(Home)
17 Oct
Mandel United
3 : 1
Zelzate
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
03 Oct
Mandel United
1 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
Page 1 of 6

Dessel

(Away)
17 Oct
Dessel
3 : 4
Belisia Bilzen
10 Oct
SK Roeselare
2 : 0
Dessel
03 Oct
Dessel
4 : 0
KRC Harelbeke
30 Sept
Merelbeke
1 : 1
Dessel
19 Sept
Dessel
3 : 1
Cercle Brugge 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 8 7 0 1 20:8 21
2 Mandel United 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
3 Leuven B 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
4 SK Roeselare 8 4 3 1 12:4 15
5 Merelbeke 8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6 Belisia Bilzen 8 3 2 3 16:15 11
7 Heist 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
8 Dessel 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
9 Knokke 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
10 Hoogstraten 8 2 4 2 19:15 10
11 Thes Sport 8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12 Tienen 8 2 3 3 14:14 9
13 Cercle Brugge 2 8 2 2 4 11:17 8
14 K. Lyra-Lierse 8 1 3 4 13:19 6
15 KRC Harelbeke 8 1 1 6 6:23 4
16 Zelzate 8 0 3 5 7:19 3
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