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Mandel United vs K. Lyra-Lierse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Desot A.
62' Event
Peffer J.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV game between Mandel United and K. Lyra-Lierse finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mandel United
20%
Draws
36%
K. Lyra-Lierse
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mandel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mandel United come out ahead of K. Lyra-Lierse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mandel United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National Division 1 - VV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 20%
K. Lyra-Lierse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandel United K. Lyra-Lierse
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Mandel United vs K. Lyra-Lierse
1:1
Aug 12, 2012 Belgian Cup
Mandel United vs K. Lyra-Lierse
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandel United Compare

Top Goalscorer Desot A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

K. Lyra-Lierse Compare

Top Goalscorer Peffer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandel United 49 / 100
K. Lyra-Lierse 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandel United K. Lyra-Lierse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mandel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandel United found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

K. Lyra-Lierse has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mandel United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mandel United VS K. Lyra-Lierse
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandel United

(Home)
03 Oct
Mandel United
1 : 0
Belisia Bilzen
30 Sept
Houtvenne
2 : 1
Mandel United
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
13 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 0
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

K. Lyra-Lierse

(Away)
03 Oct
K. Lyra-Lierse
0 : 3
SK Roeselare
27 Sept
Leuven B
3 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
19 Sept
K. Lyra-Lierse
3 : 2
Heist
12 Sept
Hoogstraten
4 : 4
K. Lyra-Lierse
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Houtvenne 6 5 0 1 17:8 15
2 Leuven B 6 4 0 2 15:13 12
3 SK Roeselare 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
4 Merelbeke 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
5 Dessel 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
6 Mandel United 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
7 Knokke 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
8 Thes Sport 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 Tienen 6 2 2 2 12:8 8
10 Belisia Bilzen 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
11 Heist 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Hoogstraten 6 1 3 2 14:13 6
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 6 1 3 2 12:16 6
14 Cercle Brugge 2 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
15 Zelzate 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
16 KRC Harelbeke 6 0 1 5 4:19 1
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