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Mandel United vs Royal Excel Mouscron

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Angiulli M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Mandel United and Royal Excel Mouscron finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mandel United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mandel United
15%
Draws
26%
Royal Excel Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mandel United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mandel United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mandel United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mandel United Clean Sheet 20%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandel United Royal Excel Mouscron
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2021 Club Friendly
Mandel United vs Royal Excel Mouscron
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandel United 85 / 100
Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandel United Royal Excel Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mandel United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandel United's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Royal Excel Mouscron's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Mandel United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Royal Excel Mouscron registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mandel United VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandel United

(Home)
26 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 3
Hasselt
19 Sept
Mandel United
2 : 1
Hoogstraten
13 Sept
SK Roeselare
1 : 0
Mandel United
05 Sept
Mandel United
1 : 1
K. Lyra-Lierse
30 Aug
KRC Harelbeke
0 : 3
Mandel United
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Royal Excel Mouscron

(Away)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
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