Sport Picks
Mandurah City vs Murdoch University Melville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
WA State League Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth 
Match Events
45'
45'
Hina H.
65'
65'
Worton M.
67'
67'
Hina H.
AI Match Summary
Mandurah City in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mandurah City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murdoch University Melville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mandurah City lately — more wins on the board than Murdoch University Melville.
- Model gives Mandurah City a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 11%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mandurah City | Murdoch University Melville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 34 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 2.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Murdoch University Melville
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 WA State League
Mandurah City vs Murdoch University Melville
2:2
Jul 6, 2024 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Mandurah City
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mandurah City Compare
Top Goalscorer Hina H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Callaghan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Murdoch University Melville Compare
Top Goalscorer Worton M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mandurah City 35 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mandurah City Murdoch University Melville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Murdoch University Melville's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 34 matches.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Mandurah City scored in 79% of their last 33 games.
Murdoch University Melville lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mandurah City VS Murdoch University Melville
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Mandurah City
(Home) 12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0 Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1 UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1 Mandurah City
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1 Quinns
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1 UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1 Quinns
25 Jul
Mandurah City
1 : 1 Inglewood Utd
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 4
Murdoch University Melville
(Away) 22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Kingsley Westside
1 : 3 Murdoch University Melville
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3 UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2 Curtin University
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Kingsley Westside
1 : 3 Murdoch University Melville
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2 Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 57:24 | 52 |
| 2 | UWA Nedlands | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 48:25 | 47 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 47:39 | 36 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Quinns | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34:37 | 36 |
| 6 | Inglewood Utd | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26:24 | 33 |
| 7 | Kingsley Westside | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 36:47 | 25 |
| 9 | Cockburn City | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 34:49 | 23 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 38:46 | 22 |
| 11 | Subiaco | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36:46 | 20 |
| 12 | Curtin University | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19:41 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)
