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Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Western Australia Securitas Protect Stadium, Perth
Mandurah City Logo

Mandurah City

0 - 1
FT
UWA Nedlands Logo

UWA Nedlands

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
McInnes J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mandurah City
20%
Draws
51%
UWA Nedlands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UWA Nedlands lately — more wins on the board than Mandurah City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • UWA Nedlands arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor UWA Nedlands, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mandurah City Clean Sheet 11%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mandurah City UWA Nedlands
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.87 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Western Australia
UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City
0:0
Sep 5, 2026 NPL Western Australia
Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands
0:1
Aug 1, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City
3:0
May 16, 2026 WA State League
Mandurah City vs UWA Nedlands
3:1
Aug 13, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Mandurah City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mandurah City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer McInnes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mandurah City 30 / 100
UWA Nedlands 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mandurah City UWA Nedlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UWA Nedlands Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mandurah City's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UWA Nedlands let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Mandurah City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mandurah City VS UWA Nedlands
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mandurah City

(Home)
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Floreat Athena
2 : 1
Mandurah City
08 Aug
Mandurah City
0 : 1
Quinns
Page 1 of 6

UWA Nedlands

(Away)
19 Sept
Armadale
3 : 0
UWA Nedlands
12 Sept
UWA Nedlands
0 : 0
Mandurah City
05 Sept
Mandurah City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
22 Aug
Joondalup City
0 : 1
UWA Nedlands
15 Aug
UWA Nedlands
0 : 2
Subiaco
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Armadale 3
Joondalup City 2
UWA Nedlands 1
Mandurah City 0
Final
Armadale 3
UWA Nedlands 0