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Manfredonia vs Bisceglie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Santarpia A.

AI Match Summary

Manfredonia in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Manfredonia
20%
Draws
28%
Bisceglie
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Manfredonia have won more games recently than Bisceglie.
  • Model gives Manfredonia a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 19%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Bisceglie
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Bisceglie
1:0
Feb 19, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Manfredonia
3:2
Oct 17, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Bisceglie
2:1
Feb 21, 2016 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Manfredonia
1:0
Oct 19, 2015 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Bisceglie
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Santarpia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bisceglie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 58 / 100
Bisceglie 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Bisceglie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manfredonia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Manfredonia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bisceglie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS Bisceglie
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

Bisceglie

(Away)
07 Oct
Fidelis Andria
2 : 1
Bisceglie
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)