Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manfredonia vs Ferrandina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ceparano G.
62' Event
Ceparano G.

AI Match Summary

Manfredonia in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manfredonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manfredonia
6%
Draws
4%
Ferrandina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manfredonia lately — more wins on the board than Ferrandina.
  • Model gives Manfredonia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Ferrandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manfredonia Ferrandina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Ferrandina
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Ferrandina vs Manfredonia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manfredonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceparano G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ferrandina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manfredonia 95 / 100
Ferrandina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manfredonia Ferrandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manfredonia scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Ferrandina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manfredonia VS Ferrandina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manfredonia

(Home)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Fidelis Andria
19 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0
Manfredonia
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

Ferrandina

(Away)
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Ferrandina
1 : 0
A.C.D. Nardo
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Ferrandina
0 : 5
Gravina
02 Apr
Citta di Fasano
2 : 0
Ferrandina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)