Sport Picks
Manfredonia vs Gravina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
41'
41'
Basanisi A.
57'
57'
Jallow L.
79'
79'
Basanisi A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Gravina in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manfredonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gravina have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
- Win probability leans Manfredonia's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%
Gravina Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manfredonia | Gravina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Gravina
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Manfredonia
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Manfredonia
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Gravina
1:2
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Manfredonia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manfredonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Jallow L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gravina Compare
Top Goalscorer Basanisi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manfredonia 95 / 100
Gravina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manfredonia Gravina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Manfredonia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Manfredonia found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Gravina let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Manfredonia VS Gravina
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Manfredonia
(Home) 04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0 Bisceglie
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2 Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1 Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0 Bisceglie
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0 Ebolitana
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2 Nocerina
26 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0 Fidelis Andria
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 3
Gravina
(Away) 07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
04 Oct
Gravina
4 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2 Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 0 Gravina
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0 Gravina
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0 Gravina
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3 Gravina
26 Apr
Afragolese
0 : 6 Gravina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
