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Manhattan vs Long Island - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Manhattan and Long Island finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Long Island.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Manhattan
35%
Draws
41%
Long Island
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Long Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Manhattan haven't matched Long Island's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Long Island's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Manhattan Clean Sheet 10%
Long Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manhattan Long Island
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.07 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Long Island
0:4
May 21, 2025 USL League Two
Long Island vs Manhattan
3:3
Jul 10, 2024 USL League Two
Manhattan vs Long Island
1:1
Jun 12, 2024 USL League Two
Long Island vs Manhattan
2:0
Jul 8, 2023 USL League Two
Long Island vs Manhattan
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manhattan 10 / 100
Long Island 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manhattan Long Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Long Island Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manhattan scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Long Island let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Manhattan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manhattan VS Long Island
2.63 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Manhattan

(Home)
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Manhattan
6 : 0
New Jersey Copa
02 Jul
Hudson Valley
1 : 1
Manhattan
20 Jun
Manhattan
3 : 3
Hudson Valley
16 Jun
Manhattan
0 : 4
Long Island
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Long Island

(Away)
11 Jul
Motown 2
4 : 2
Long Island
02 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
1 : 1
Long Island
27 Jun
Staten Island ASC
0 : 6
Long Island
26 Jun
Long Island
4 : 1
Cedar Stars Rush
21 Jun
Long Island
4 : 0
Westchester Flames
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