Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manika vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manika
20%
Draws
45%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than Manika.
  • Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Manika Clean Sheet 10%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manika Mazembe
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 26
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Ligue 1
Manika vs Mazembe
0:1
Oct 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Manika
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manika 26 / 100
Mazembe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manika Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manika found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Manika has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Mazembe conceded in 31% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manika VS Mazembe
3 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manika

(Home)
16 Apr
US Panda
2 : 3
Manika
05 Apr
Manika
2 : 1
Blessing
27 Mar
St Eloi Lupopo
0 : 2
Manika
23 Mar
Saint-Luc
1 : 0
Manika
19 Mar
Tshikas
1 : 1
Manika
Page 1 of 6

Mazembe

(Away)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)