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Manila Digger vs Don Bosco Garelli

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Gai P. O.
45' Event
Ngai D.
53' Event
Gai P. O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Manila Digger in this PFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manila Digger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Manila Digger
20%
Draws
40%
Don Bosco Garelli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Manila Digger have won more games recently than Don Bosco Garelli.
  • Win probability leans Don Bosco Garelli's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Manila Digger here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 10%
Don Bosco Garelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manila Digger Don Bosco Garelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 7 1
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 3.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.67 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Manila Digger
2:6
Feb 25, 2026 PFL
Manila Digger vs Don Bosco Garelli
6:1
Jul 6, 2024 PFL
Don Bosco Garelli vs Manila Digger
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manila Digger Compare

Top Goalscorer Gai P. O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nishioka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Don Bosco Garelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngai D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.43
Avg xA / game 1.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manila Digger 10 / 100
Don Bosco Garelli 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manila Digger Don Bosco Garelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Bosco Garelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manila Digger scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Don Bosco Garelli conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.33 goals per match.

Manila Digger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manila Digger VS Don Bosco Garelli
2.88 Goals Scored 4.83
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Manila Digger

(Home)
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
31 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 0
Manila Digger
30 May
Manila Digger
1 : 1
Taguig
Page 1 of 6

Don Bosco Garelli

(Away)
24 May
Maharlika Manila
3 : 2
Don Bosco Garelli
20 May
Don Bosco Garelli
8 : 1
Philippine Army
10 May
Tuloy
2 : 4
Don Bosco Garelli
06 May
Don Bosco Garelli
3 : 3
Mendiola FC 1991
25 Apr
Don Bosco Garelli
9 : 1
Philippine Army
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)