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Manisa FK vs Bursaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Sylla C.
27' Event
Iheanacho K.
Assist: Yavru Z.
46'
Sub
Gok B. In: Bayramov T.
Out: Gok B.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Manisa FK and Bursaspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Manisa FK
20%
Draws
74%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bursaspor come out ahead of Manisa FK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bursaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bursaspor here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 14%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Bursaspor
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 23
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1.55 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Bursaspor
1:2
May 1, 2022 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Bursaspor
1:3
Dec 11, 2021 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Manisa FK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 10 / 100
Bursaspor 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Bursaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manisa FK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bursaspor has conceded goals in 35% of their last 31 outings.

Manisa FK has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Bursaspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manisa FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
Page 1 of 6

Bursaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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