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Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu, Manisa
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Tuncer D.
33'
Mendy E.
63'
Sub
Vargas A. In: Kahraman O.
Out: Vargas A.

AI Match Summary

Istanbulspor AS in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istanbulspor AS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Manisa FK
15%
Draws
64%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Manisa FK have won more games recently than Istanbulspor AS.
  • Model gives Manisa FK a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 20%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
0:1
Jan 25, 2026 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Manisa FK
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Manisa FK
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manisa FK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sol M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 67 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Istanbulspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manisa FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istanbulspor AS has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Manisa FK scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Istanbulspor AS lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Istanbulspor AS
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Manisa FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2
Manisa FK
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Istanbulspor AS

(Away)
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
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