Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Karapo A.
28'
Ozer Y.
32'
Gureler Y.

AI Match Summary

Manisa FK in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manisa FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Manisa FK
39%
Draws
30%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Manisa FK lately — more wins on the board than Istanbulspor AS.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 20%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manisa FK Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Manisa FK
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Manisa FK
3:2
Jan 9, 2022 1. Lig
Manisa FK vs Istanbulspor AS
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manisa FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Talum Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Istanbulspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manisa FK 32 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manisa FK Istanbulspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Manisa FK scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Istanbulspor AS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Manisa FK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manisa FK VS Istanbulspor AS
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54