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Manlleu AEC vs Amposta

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 game between Manlleu AEC and Amposta finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manlleu AEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manlleu AEC
6%
Draws
4%
Amposta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manlleu AEC come out ahead of Amposta on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Manlleu AEC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manlleu AEC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 19%
Amposta Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manlleu AEC Amposta
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Manlleu AEC
2:2
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Amposta
4:2
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Amposta
5:2
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Amposta vs Manlleu AEC
1:2
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Amposta
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manlleu AEC 85 / 100
Amposta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manlleu AEC Amposta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amposta has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Manlleu AEC scored in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Manlleu AEC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manlleu AEC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Prat38229757:2775
2Espanyol B381913668:3070
3Manlleu AEC381811973:4865
4Pobla Mafumet3818101052:2764
5Cornella381614852:3562
6Santboia3816101247:4358
7Terrassa3816101257:5558
8FC Vilafranca381581551:6153
9Gava3814111349:5053
10Olot3813121353:5451
11UE Rubi381481661:5450
12Balaguer3813101536:5249
13UE Castelldefels3813101543:4749
14UE Vic3812111544:5047
15Montanesa3811141342:5447
16CE Europa3812101638:4646
17Gramenet3811101745:5243
18CF Vilanova3810111744:5841
19Amposta38872352:8531
20CD Masnou38592432:6824