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Manlleu AEC vs Balaguer

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 game between Manlleu AEC and Balaguer finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manlleu AEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Manlleu AEC
15%
Draws
0%
Balaguer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manlleu AEC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Manlleu AEC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 19%
Balaguer Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manlleu AEC Balaguer
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Manlleu AEC
0:4
Nov 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Balaguer
2:0
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Balaguer vs Manlleu AEC
2:2
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Balaguer
3:1
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Balaguer
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manlleu AEC 85 / 100
Balaguer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manlleu AEC Balaguer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manlleu AEC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balaguer has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Balaguer lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Manlleu AEC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manlleu AEC VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manlleu AEC

(Home)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
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Balaguer

(Away)
19 May
UE Rubi
10 : 2
Balaguer
11 May
Balaguer
0 : 3
Vilassar de Mar
04 May
UE Rapitenca
5 : 2
Balaguer
01 May
Balaguer
0 : 4
CE Europa
27 Apr
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
Balaguer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)