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Manlleu AEC vs Olot

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017 game between Manlleu AEC and Olot finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manlleu AEC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Manlleu AEC
15%
Draws
26%
Olot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manlleu AEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Olot haven't matched Manlleu AEC's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Manlleu AEC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Manlleu AEC Clean Sheet 20%
Olot Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manlleu AEC Olot
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Olot
4:3
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs Manlleu AEC
1:1
Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Olot vs Manlleu AEC
2:0
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Olot
1:0
Apr 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Manlleu AEC vs Olot
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manlleu AEC 67 / 100
Olot 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manlleu AEC Olot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manlleu AEC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Olot has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Manlleu AEC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olot
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manlleu AEC

(Home)
14 May
Manlleu AEC
4 : 3
Olot
07 May
FC Vilafranca
2 : 0
Manlleu AEC
30 Apr
Manlleu AEC
3 : 1
Peralada
23 Apr
La Jonquera
2 : 1
Manlleu AEC
13 Apr
Manlleu AEC
2 : 1
Sabadell B
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Olot

(Away)
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
01 Aug
Olot
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Tarragona
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3
Girona
18 Jul
Olot
0 : 3
Espanyol
03 May
Olot
2 : 0
Valencia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 8 6 73:38 80
2 Peralada 38 24 5 9 68:27 77
3 Terrassa 38 19 9 10 48:26 66
4 FC Vilafranca 38 18 10 10 60:37 64
5 Sant Andreu 38 16 12 10 51:40 60
6 FC Asco 38 15 12 11 44:37 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 12 19 7 43:36 55
8 Granollers 38 14 8 16 47:54 50
9 UE Figueres 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
10 Vilassar de Mar 38 13 11 14 40:44 50
11 Palamos CF 38 13 10 15 49:55 49
12 CE Europa 38 11 14 13 28:32 47
13 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 39:44 45
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 11 12 15 43:51 45
15 UE Castelldefels 38 11 9 18 34:51 42
16 La Jonquera 38 10 12 16 19:29 42
17 Montanesa 38 11 9 18 32:48 42
18 Manlleu AEC 38 8 16 14 41:59 40
19 Jupiter 38 7 14 17 32:52 35
20 Sabadell B 38 7 10 21 34:63 31
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)