Sport Picks
Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney 
Match Events
19'
19'
Evans C.
23'
23'
Koop B.
55'
55'
Jesic M.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Manly Utd and Marconi Stallions finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manly Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marconi Stallions carry the better recent record into this one.
- Manly Utd are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Marconi Stallions have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Marconi Stallions Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manly Utd | Marconi Stallions |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs Manly Utd
4:1
Aug 17, 2025 NPL NSW
Marconi Stallions vs Manly Utd
4:2
May 2, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions
0:3
Jul 19, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manly Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Evans C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Koop B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Marconi Stallions Compare
Top Goalscorer Jesic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manly Utd 77 / 100
Marconi Stallions 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manly Utd Marconi Stallions
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Manly Utd scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
Recent resilience: Manly Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Marconi Stallions has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Manly Utd VS Marconi Stallions
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Manly Utd
(Home) 06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2 Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
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15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1 Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0 SD Raiders
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Marconi Stallions
(Away) 02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1 Marconi Stallions
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1 Marconi Stallions
08 Aug
Manly Utd
3 : 1 Marconi Stallions
25 Jul
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Marconi Stallions
24 May
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 1 Marconi Stallions
16 May
NWS Spirit
0 : 3 Marconi Stallions
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
