Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Petratos K.
29' Event
Kobayashi R.
45' Event
Petratos K.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Manly Utd and NWS Spirit finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NWS Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Manly Utd
15%
Draws
45%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NWS Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • NWS Spirit have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Manly Utd are scoring more at 1.32.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors NWS Spirit here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 19%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd NWS Spirit
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit
0:4
May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

NWS Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Petratos K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kobayashi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 36 / 100
NWS Spirit 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd NWS Spirit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Manly Utd's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

NWS Spirit's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Manly Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS NWS Spirit
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Manly Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 7

NWS Spirit

(Away)
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0
NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3
NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)