Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd host NWS Spirit in the NPL NSW. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Manly Utd have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against NWS Spirit's 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Manly Utd have won 1 to NWS Spirit's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back NWS Spirit to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Manly Utd
6%
Draws
4%
NWS Spirit
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NWS Spirit come out ahead of Manly Utd on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Manly Utd taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors NWS Spirit here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 20%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd NWS Spirit
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Manly Utd
4:2
Apr 26, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs NWS Spirit
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 85 / 100
NWS Spirit 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd NWS Spirit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Manly Utd stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Manly Utd's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: NWS Spirit conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS NWS Spirit
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manly Utd

(Home)
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0
Sydney Olympic
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1
Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0
SD Raiders
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3
Manly Utd
Page 1 of 6

NWS Spirit

(Away)
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
18 Jul
UNSW
3 : 1
NWS Spirit
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 1
NWS Spirit
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)