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Stadium Background

Manly Utd vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Cromer Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Griffiths S.
56' Event
De Robillard S.

AI Match Summary

Manly Utd in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manly Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Manly Utd
15%
Draws
8%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • UNSW haven't matched Manly Utd's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Manly Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 20%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manly Utd UNSW
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Manly Utd
0:2
May 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs UNSW
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Robillard S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

UNSW Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manly Utd 85 / 100
UNSW 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manly Utd UNSW

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manly Utd's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UNSW's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Manly Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manly Utd VS UNSW
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Manly Utd

(Home)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6

UNSW

(Away)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)