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Mannheim vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Carl-Benz Stadion, Mannheim
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mannheim host Ingolstadt in the 3. Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ingolstadt have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Mannheim have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.94. Past meetings favor Ingolstadt slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.19) back Mannheim to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mannheim
15%
Draws
21%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mannheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mannheim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mannheim are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Mannheim Clean Sheet 20%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mannheim Ingolstadt
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.94 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
5:1
Dec 20, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 3. Liga
Mannheim vs Ingolstadt
0:0
Aug 4, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
2:1
May 5, 2024 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Mannheim
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mannheim 58 / 100
Ingolstadt 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mannheim Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mannheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mannheim found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Ingolstadt let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mannheim has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mannheim VS Ingolstadt
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mannheim

(Home)
03 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Mainz
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1
Elversberg
20 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 0
Preussen Munster
16 Sept
Mannheim
1 : 2
RW Essen
13 Sept
Wehen
0 : 1
Mannheim
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Ingolstadt

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)