Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Hendry R.
38'
38'
Reed L.
46'
46'
Sub
Reed L. In: Moriah-Welsh N.
Out: Reed L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mansfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mansfield lately — more wins on the board than Burton.
- Model gives Mansfield a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 20%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mansfield | Burton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 League One
Burton vs Mansfield
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 League One
Mansfield vs Burton
3:3
Nov 21, 2023 EFL Trophy
Burton vs Mansfield
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mansfield 67 / 100
Burton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mansfield Burton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mansfield's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Burton let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Mansfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mansfield VS Burton
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mansfield
(Home) 18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2 Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
28 Apr
Peterborough
0 : 0 Mansfield
25 Apr
Huddersfield
1 : 4 Mansfield
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
18 Apr
Mansfield
2 : 2 Luton
06 Apr
Mansfield
0 : 0 Burton
21 Mar
Mansfield
4 : 1 Northampton
14 Mar
Mansfield
2 : 2 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Burton
(Away) 22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1 Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3 Leicester
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0 Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 Burton
25 Apr
Burton
1 : 1 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 0 Burton
02 May
Leyton Orient
2 : 2 Burton
19 Apr
Peterborough
1 : 1 Burton
06 Apr
Mansfield
0 : 0 Burton
28 Mar
Blackpool
1 : 0 Burton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
