Sport Picks
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 One Call Stadium, Mansfield 
Match Events
4'
4'
Heffernan C.
24'
24'
Dickov M.
Assist: Gardner J.
55'
55'
Taylor J.
AI Match Summary
Newcastle Utd U21 in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mansfield
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mansfield have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
- Mansfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mansfield, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mansfield have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mansfield | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:3
Oct 29, 2024 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:0
Nov 9, 2021 EFL Trophy
Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21
6:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mansfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Dickov M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flanagan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Heffernan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mansfield 40 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 5.67 goals.
Mansfield scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Mansfield went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mansfield VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mansfield
(Home) 18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2 Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
28 Apr
Peterborough
0 : 0 Mansfield
25 Apr
Huddersfield
1 : 4 Mansfield
Page 1 of 7
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4 Cardiff
18 Apr
Mansfield
2 : 2 Luton
06 Apr
Mansfield
0 : 0 Burton
21 Mar
Mansfield
4 : 1 Northampton
14 Mar
Mansfield
2 : 2 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1 Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0 Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
09 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Feb
Arsenal U21
1 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 4 | Wigan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Barrow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doncaster | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Manchester United U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Rotherham | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Oldham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrogate | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Port Vale | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fleetwood Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Accrington | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 3 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Liverpool U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Newport | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Plymouth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northampton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Walsall | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swindon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Reading | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Peterborough | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Crawley Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 6 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Barnet | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
