Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 One Call Stadium, Mansfield

Mansfield

Wed, Oct 15, 2025

2 - 3

06:45 PM

Newcastle Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Heffernan C.

24'

Dickov M.

Assist: Gardner J.

55'

Taylor J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U21 in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Mansfield

20%

Draws

30%

Newcastle Utd U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Mansfield have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
50% — that's where the model lands on Mansfield taking it.
Mansfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mansfield, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Mansfield have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 60%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Mansfield Clean Sheet 12%

Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mansfield	Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played	34	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	10	5
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	2.12	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.44	1.9
Expected Goals (xG)	2.28	1.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 EFL Trophy

Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21

2:3

Oct 29, 2024 EFL Trophy

Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21

3:0

Nov 9, 2021 EFL Trophy

Mansfield vs Newcastle Utd U21

6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickov M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flanagan F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.75

Avg xA / game 1.14

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Heffernan C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.6

Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 56 / 100

Newcastle Utd U21 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mansfield Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansfield Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Mansfield scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Mansfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Newcastle Utd U21

2.13 Goals Scored 1.14

2.38 Goals Conceded 2.43

100% Over 1.5 86%

100% Over 2.5 71%

63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)

19 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Mansfield

12 Sept

Mansfield

0 : 0

Huddersfield

05 Sept

Bradford City

1 : 0

Mansfield

02 Sept

Reading

5 : 0

Mansfield

30 Aug

Mansfield

5 : 2

Luton

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Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)

19 Sept

Leeds U21

2 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

15 Sept

York City

1 : 3

Newcastle Utd U21

08 Sept

Boreham Wood

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

31 Aug

Newcastle Utd U21

0 : 4

Fulham U21

24 Aug

Newcastle Utd U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

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