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Mansfield vs Oxford Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mansfield host Oxford Utd in the League One. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Oxford Utd have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Mansfield have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.65. Past meetings favor Oxford Utd slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.88, favoring Oxford Utd. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mansfield
30%
Draws
54%
Oxford Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oxford Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Oxford Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Oxford Utd's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansfield Oxford Utd
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.65 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Oxford Utd
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Oxford Utd
1:0
Feb 9, 2016 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Mansfield
2:2
Aug 22, 2015 League Two
Mansfield vs Oxford Utd
1:1
Feb 21, 2015 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Mansfield
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 14 / 100
Oxford Utd 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansfield Oxford Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Oxford Utd let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Mansfield has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Oxford Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
19 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Mansfield
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
Page 1 of 6

Oxford Utd

(Away)
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2
Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0
Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)