Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd

England England

EFL Cup One Call Stadium, Mansfield
Mansfield Logo

Mansfield

0 - 3
FT
Sheffield Utd Logo

Sheffield Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bamford P.
Assist: Rothwell J.
29'
Sub
Chong T. In: Donovan R.
Out: Chong T.
37'
Seriki F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mansfield
20%
Draws
44%
Sheffield Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sheffield Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheffield Utd lately — more wins on the board than Mansfield.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sheffield Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 12%
Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansfield Sheffield Utd
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 EFL Cup
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
0:3
Jan 11, 2026 FA Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Mansfield
3:4
Jul 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
3:0
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Mansfield vs Sheffield Utd
0:0
Aug 13, 2014 EFL Cup
Sheffield Utd vs Mansfield
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sheffield Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamford P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGuinness M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansfield 35 / 100
Sheffield Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansfield Sheffield Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Mansfield scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sheffield Utd let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Mansfield stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansfield VS Sheffield Utd
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansfield

(Home)
31 Jul
Mansfield
1 : 3
Derby
28 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 4
Mansfield
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
14 Jul
Retford United
1 : 2
Mansfield
02 May
Mansfield
5 : 4
Cardiff
Page 1 of 6

Sheffield Utd

(Away)
01 Aug
Bochum
0 : 0
Sheffield Utd
25 Jul
Rotherham
0 : 2
Sheffield Utd
21 Jul
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1
Huddersfield
17 Jul
Levante
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0
Sheffield Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Mansfield -
Sheffield Utd -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Plymouth -
Exeter -
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
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