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Mansilles vs Guijuelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mansilles host Guijuelo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Mansilles at 1.04 goals for, 0.75 against; Guijuelo at 1.47 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Mansilles slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.85) point toward Mansilles. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Mansilles
20%
Draws
17%
Guijuelo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Guijuelo have won more games recently than Mansilles.
  • Mansilles are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 20%
Guijuelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansilles Guijuelo
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 13 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Guijuelo
0:0
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Guijuelo
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Guijuelo vs Mansilles
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansilles 67 / 100
Guijuelo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansilles Guijuelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Mansilles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mansilles scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Guijuelo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.

Guijuelo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mansilles VS Guijuelo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
17% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansilles

(Home)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Guijuelo

(Away)
27 Sept
Guijuelo
1 : 2
Bembibre
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Turegano
1 : 3
Guijuelo
06 Sept
Calasanz de Soria
1 : 0
Guijuelo
22 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca B
4 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)