Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mansilles vs Leonesa B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Puente A.

AI Match Summary

Mansilles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mansilles
20%
Draws
42%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa B average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Mansilles's 1.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Mansilles taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansilles Leonesa B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mansilles
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Leonesa B
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mansilles
1:0
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Leonesa B
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Puente A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leonesa B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansilles 59 / 100
Leonesa B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansilles Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansilles scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Mansilles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Leonesa B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mansilles VS Leonesa B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansilles

(Home)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa B

(Away)
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)