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Mansilles vs Mirandes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Nacho

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Mansilles and Mirandes B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mansilles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mansilles
30%
Draws
6%
Mirandes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mansilles come out ahead of Mirandes B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mansilles a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansilles Mirandes B
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Mirandes B
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Mansilles
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Mirandes B
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Mansilles
3:3
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Mirandes B
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Nacho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Mirandes B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansilles 95 / 100
Mirandes B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansilles Mirandes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mansilles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mansilles scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Mirandes B has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mansilles VS Mirandes B
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansilles

(Home)
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Mirandes B

(Away)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Bembibre
1 : 1
Mirandes B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)