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Mansilles vs Villaralbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mansilles host Villaralbo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Mansilles have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Villaralbo's 1.24 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor Villaralbo slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Mansilles to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mansilles
30%
Draws
37%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villaralbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mansilles lately — more wins on the board than Villaralbo.
  • Model gives Villaralbo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Villaralbo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 20%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mansilles Villaralbo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Mansilles
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Villaralbo
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Mansilles
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs Villaralbo
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mansilles 28 / 100
Villaralbo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mansilles Villaralbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansilles scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Villaralbo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Mansilles went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mansilles VS Villaralbo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mansilles

(Home)
24 Oct
Arandina
2 : 2
Mansilles
17 Oct
Mansilles
1 : 2
Unionistas de Salamanca B
10 Oct
La Virgen
1 : 0
Mansilles
27 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 0
Mirandes B
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
Page 1 of 6

Villaralbo

(Away)
24 Oct
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Bembibre
18 Oct
Palencia CA
2 : 0
Villaralbo
10 Oct
Villaralbo
2 : 2
Turegano
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2
Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 8 6 1 1 13:4 19
2 Leonesa B 8 6 1 1 13:5 19
3 Burgos CF B 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
4 Santa Marta Tormes 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
5 Palencia CF 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
6 Bembibre 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
7 La Virgen 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
8 Guijuelo 7 4 0 3 12:6 12
9 Mansilles 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
10 Arandina 8 2 4 2 11:12 10
11 Almazan 8 2 4 2 12:14 10
12 Villaralbo 8 2 3 3 13:11 9
13 Turegano 8 1 4 3 9:12 7
14 Calasanz de Soria 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 8 1 2 5 7:13 5
16 Colegios Diocesanos 8 1 1 6 5:15 4
17 Salamanca CF UDS B 8 1 1 6 7:21 4
18 Mirandes B 8 0 3 5 2:9 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)