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Manta vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Verges J.
Assist: Troya J.
19'
Nazareno J.
25'
Castillo B.

AI Match Summary

Manta in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Manta
35%
Draws
30%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Barcelona SC have won more games recently than Manta.
  • Model gives Barcelona SC a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 16%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Barcelona SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.72 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Barcelona SC
2:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Manta
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Manta
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Barcelona SC
2:3
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Manta vs Barcelona SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Verges J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Barcelona SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 28 / 100
Barcelona SC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcelona SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barcelona SC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Manta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Manta scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Barcelona SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
24 Oct
Manta
0 : 2
Dep. Cuenca
18 Oct
Delfin
4 : 2
Manta
10 Oct
Manta
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
25 Oct
Aucas
0 : 4
Barcelona SC
18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
U. Catolica
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)