Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Manta vs LDU Quito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Manta Logo

Manta

1 - 1
FT
LDU Quito Logo

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Gonzalez Baquero S.
17'
Dominguez A.
27'
Nazareno J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Manta and LDU Quito finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Manta
30%
Draws
37%
LDU Quito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • LDU Quito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manta a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 17%
LDU Quito Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta LDU Quito
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.62 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs LDU Quito
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Manta
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Pro
LDU Quito vs Manta
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs LDU Quito
1:1
Jun 5, 2022 Copa Ecuador
Manta vs LDU Quito
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 36 / 100
LDU Quito 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta LDU Quito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LDU Quito let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Manta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manta scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS LDU Quito
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1
Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0
Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0
Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6

LDU Quito

(Away)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
16 Sept
LDU Quito
3 : 3
Palmeiras
13 Sept
LDU Quito
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
09 Sept
Palmeiras
1 : 0
LDU Quito
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)