Sport Picks
Manta vs Leones del Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta 
Match Events
17'
17'
Griffa E.
Assist: Portocarrero S.
20'
20'
Portocarrero S.
40'
40'
Sub
Portocarrero S. In: De La Cruz M.
Out: Portocarrero S.
AI Match Summary
Leones del Norte in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones del Norte.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Leones del Norte have won more games recently than Manta.
- Model gives Manta a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Manta Clean Sheet 68%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Manta | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.62 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Leones del Norte
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Manta
3:0
Sep 26, 2024 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Manta
1:1
Aug 7, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 Serie B
Manta vs Leones del Norte
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Manta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Leones del Norte Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffa E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Borja R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Manta 77 / 100
Leones del Norte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Manta Leones del Norte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Manta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones del Norte has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Manta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Manta's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Manta VS Leones del Norte
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Manta
(Home) 21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1 Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
08 Sept
Emelec
1 : 0 Manta
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3 Manta
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Manta
2 : 1 Orense
12 Sept
Manta
0 : 0 Aucas
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0 Barcelona SC
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2 Leones del Norte
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2 Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 3
Leones del Norte
(Away) 09 Oct
Libertad
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Libertad
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1 Leones del Norte
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2 Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
