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Manta vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Jocay, Manta
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Alman J.
63'
Sub
Estacio J. In: Chala J.
Out: Estacio J.
63'
Sub
Ayala M. In: Mohor J.
Out: Ayala M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Manta and Macara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Manta
20%
Draws
58%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macara come out ahead of Manta on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Macara's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Manta Clean Sheet 11%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manta Macara
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.55 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Manta vs Macara
1:3
May 31, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Manta
2:2
Oct 18, 2023 Serie B
Macara vs Manta
1:3
Aug 30, 2023 Serie B
Manta vs Macara
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manta 18 / 100
Macara 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manta Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Manta scored in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Macara let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Manta has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manta VS Macara
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Manta

(Home)
22 Aug
U. Catolica
5 : 1
Manta
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
11 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 2
Manta
01 Aug
Manta
1 : 2
Mushuc Runa
30 Jul
Independiente del Valle
1 : 0
Manta
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Macara

(Away)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 26 22 1 3 64:26 67
2 Aucas 26 13 5 8 30:26 44
3 U. Catolica 26 12 7 7 45:23 43
4 Macara 25 12 6 7 33:25 42
5 LDU Quito 26 12 5 9 26:20 41
6 Barcelona SC 26 10 9 7 28:20 39
7 Leones del Norte 26 9 8 9 28:28 35
8 Libertad 25 9 7 9 28:29 34
9 Mushuc Runa 26 8 9 9 32:34 33
10 Guayaquil City 26 8 9 9 25:29 33
11 Dep. Cuenca 26 9 5 12 22:32 32
12 Emelec 26 8 8 10 21:31 32
13 Orense 26 8 6 12 30:39 30
14 Tecnico U. 26 8 2 16 23:37 26
15 Delfin 26 6 6 14 17:28 24
16 Manta 26 4 5 17 12:37 17
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)