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Manteigas vs Bustelo

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Bustelo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Manteigas
15%
Draws
85%
Bustelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bustelo come out ahead of Manteigas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bustelo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bustelo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bustelo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Manteigas Clean Sheet 13%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manteigas Bustelo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2019 Taça de Portugal
Manteigas vs Bustelo
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manteigas 10 / 100
Bustelo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manteigas Bustelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bustelo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Manteigas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Bustelo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manteigas VS Bustelo
1 Goals Scored 0.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Manteigas

(Home)
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
27 Sept
Vilafranquense
8 : 1
Manteigas
06 Sept
Oliveira de Frades
4 : 0
Manteigas
24 May
Naval
1 : 0
Manteigas
11 May
Manteigas
1 : 2
FC Pampilhosa
Page 1 of 6

Bustelo

(Away)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Aljustrelense 3
Vasco de Gama de Sines 2
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Vizela 3
Pedras Rubras 0
TBD -
GD Fontinhas -
Vasco de Gama de Sines -
TBD -
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Leca -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mortagua FC 4
Anadia 2
TBD -
Penafiel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintra 1
GS Loures 0
Trofense 1
Amarante FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
CDC Montalegre 1
Cerveira 0
TBD -
Marinhense -
Coutada 2
Fayal 0
Marinhense 0
Fatima 1
Condeixa 1
Oliveira Hospital 0
TBD -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
AD Portomosense 3
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 2
Sacavenense 0
Alverca 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Louletano 1
Ferreiras 0
Vila Cortez 0
Figueirense 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Amora 2
SC Lusitania 1
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver -
Sporting Ideal -
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Sanjoanense 3
SC Espinho 2
Castro Daire 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Carcao 2
GD Prado 1
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Electrico FC -
TBD -
Rebordosa 0
Arouca 5
Sao Martinho 3
Porto da Cruz 0
Ponte da Barca 0
Merelinense 1
Lusitania FC 1
Paredes 0
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano FCV 3
Anca 2
TBD -
Academica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Penedo Gordo 2
Praia Milfontes 0
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vila Pouca -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
U. Madeira 1
SC Vila Real 0
Rebordelo 0
AD Fafe 3
CD Rabo Peixe 1
Montijo 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Leiria 5
FC Crato 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Real SC 4
Berco 3
Pevidem 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
SC Mirandela 2
Atletico Arcos 0
TBD -
Chaves -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Lusitano GC 0
TBD -
Pevidem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BSAD -
Pero Pinheiro 4
1º Dezembro 3
Aguias do Moradal 2
Vitoria Sernache 4
Moncarapachense 3
Juv. Evora 2
Oleiros 1
Sertanense 2
Santarem 3
Uniao Almeirim 2
TBD -
SC Farense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aves -
Maria de Fonte 3
GD Braganca 0
Vila Pouca 1
Pedras Salgadas 3
Agueda 5
Ferreira de Aves 0
Sporting Ideal 0
Oriental 2
Gondomar 3
Leca 1
TBD -
Valadares Gaia FC -
Canelas 2010 3
Valadares Gaia FC 1
TBD -
Anca -
Coimbroes 4
Regua 1
TBD -
GD Prado -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
Aguias do Moradal -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Torreense 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
GD Alcochetense 5
Velense 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Atletico Arcos -
TBD -
Fabril do Barreiro 0
SC Praiense 4
AD Oliveirense 2
FC Vilarinho 0
Camara de Lobos 0
FC Felgueiras 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Caldas SC 5
Vila Velha 0
TBD -
Varzim -
Pinhalnovense 3
GD Fontinhas 1
TBD -
Estoril -
GS Loures -
TBD -
TBD -
Lusitano VRSA -
SB Castelo Branco 7
Electrico FC 0
Armacenenses 0
Olhanense 1
GD Coruchense -
TBD -
TBD -
Montijo -
Anadia -
TBD -
GD Coruchense 0
Sintrense 1
Beira Mar 6
Pampilhosense 0
Manteigas 1
Bustelo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
1/64-finals
Aljustrelense 0
Casa Pia 2
Vizela 6
GD Fontinhas 1
Vasco de Gama de Sines 0
Cova De Piedade 4
TBD -
Benfica -
Leca 1
Oliveirense 0
TBD -
TBD -
Mortagua FC 2
Penafiel 3
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintra 2
Amarante FC 0
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
CDC Montalegre 0
Marinhense 1
Coutada 0
Fatima 4
Condeixa 1
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
AD Portomosense 0
Alverca 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Louletano 2
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Amora 2
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Sporting Ideal 0
Sanjoanense 1
SC Espinho 2
Nacional 0
Carcao 0
Vilafranquense 2
Electrico FC 1
Arouca 6
Sao Martinho 0
Merelinense 1
Lusitania FC 4
Covilha 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano FCV 0
Academica 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Penedo Gordo 0
Fabril do Barreiro 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Vila Pouca 0
Mafra 4
U. Madeira 1
AD Fafe 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Academico Viseu 1
Leiria 0
Real SC 1
Berco 1
Feirense 3
TBD -
Tondela -
SC Mirandela 1
Chaves 2
TBD -
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Pevidem 3
TBD -
BSAD -
Pero Pinheiro 0
Vitoria Sernache 1
Moncarapachense 0
Sertanense 1
Santarem 1
SC Farense 2
TBD -
Aves -
Maria de Fonte 1
Pedras Salgadas 5
Agueda 4
Oriental 1
Gondomar 0
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Canelas 2010 4
Anca 0
Coimbroes 3
GD Prado 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
Aguias do Moradal 1
Torreense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
GD Alcochetense 0
Leixoes 4
Atletico Arcos 0
SC Praiense 2
AD Oliveirense 2
FC Felgueiras 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Caldas SC 0
Varzim 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Estoril 2
GS Loures 3
Lusitano VRSA 2
SB Castelo Branco 3
Olhanense 2
GD Coruchense 0
Montijo 4
Anadia 2
Sintrense 1
Beira Mar 2
Bustelo 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
1/32-finals
Casa Pia 1
Vizela 3
Cova De Piedade 0
Benfica 4
Leca 1
Braga 3
Penafiel 0
Gil Vicente 2
Sintra 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Marinhense 1
Fatima 0
Condeixa 0
Rio Ave 1
Alverca 2
Sporting CP 0
Louletano 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Amora 0
Sanjoanense 1
SC Espinho 2
Vilafranquense 1
Arouca 1
Merelinense 0
Lusitania FC 1
Famalicao 2
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Moreirense 3
Mafra 1
AD Fafe 0
Academico Viseu 3
Real SC 1
Feirense 3
Tondela 0
Chaves 2
Boavista 1
Pevidem 0
BSAD 2
Vitoria Sernache 0
Sertanense 1
SC Farense 5
Aves 2
Pedras Salgadas 1
Agueda 0
Valadares Gaia FC 0
Canelas 2010 1
Coimbroes 0
FC Porto 5
Aguias do Moradal 0
Vitoria Setubal 5
Leixoes 4
SC Praiense 2
AD Oliveirense 0
Santa Clara 3
Varzim 1
Estoril 0
GS Loures 4
SB Castelo Branco 2
Montijo 0
Anadia 1
Beira Mar 3
Maritimo 2
1/16-finals
Vizela 1
Benfica 2
Braga 1
Gil Vicente 0
Sintra 0
Marinhense 2
Rio Ave 1
Alverca 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Sanjoanense 0
SC Espinho 3
Arouca 2
Famalicao 1
Academica 0
Moreirense 1
Mafra 3
Academico Viseu 1
Feirense 0
Chaves 1
BSAD 0
Sertanense 2
SC Farense 1
Pedras Salgadas 0
Canelas 2010 1
FC Porto 4
Vitoria Setubal 0
Leixoes 1
Santa Clara 4
Varzim 1
GS Loures 0
Anadia 2
Beira Mar 1
1/8-finals
Benfica 2
Braga 1
Marinhense 0
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
SC Espinho 0
Famalicao 3
Mafra 0
Academico Viseu 1
Chaves 0
Sertanense 0
Canelas 2010 1
FC Porto 1
Santa Clara 0
Varzim 2
Anadia 1
Quarter-finals
Benfica 3
Rio Ave 2
Pacos Ferreira 0
Famalicao 1
Academico Viseu 1
Canelas 2010 0
FC Porto 2
Varzim 1
Semi-finals
Benfica 4
Famalicao 3
Academico Viseu 1
FC Porto 4
Final
Benfica 1
FC Porto 2