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Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Manthiqueira Logo

Manthiqueira

2 - 0
FT
Atletico Mogi Logo

Atletico Mogi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Manthiqueira in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Manthiqueira
15%
Draws
28%
Atletico Mogi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Mogi haven't matched Manthiqueira's recent run of results.
  • Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Manthiqueira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico Mogi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manthiqueira Atletico Mogi
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.58 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Paulista B
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
3:5
May 4, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
1:0
Jun 10, 2023 Paulista A4
Manthiqueira vs Atletico Mogi
2:3
May 6, 2023 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:2
Jun 18, 2022 Paulista A4
Atletico Mogi vs Manthiqueira
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 85 / 100
Atletico Mogi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manthiqueira Atletico Mogi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manthiqueira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Mogi conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Manthiqueira scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Atletico Mogi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Manthiqueira

(Home)
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1
Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1
Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5
Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2
Itaqua
Page 1 of 8

Atletico Mogi

(Away)
22 Jun
Atletico Mogi
0 : 1
ECUS SP
15 Jun
Mauaense
4 : 0
Atletico Mogi
08 Jun
Atletico Mogi
3 : 5
Manthiqueira
01 Jun
Atletico Mogi
2 : 1
Uniao Mogi
25 May
Maua FC
1 : 0
Atletico Mogi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 12 7 4 1 20:8 25
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 2 5 12:15 17
4 Tupa 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
5 Osvaldo Cruz 12 4 3 5 12:11 15
6 Bandeirante 12 3 2 7 9:17 11
7 America SP 12 2 2 8 7:15 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 12 7 3 2 29:13 24
2 Catanduva FC 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
3 Matonense 12 5 3 4 20:14 18
4 Catanduvense 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
6 Taquaritinga 12 4 3 5 17:19 15
7 Sao-Carlense 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 12 7 3 2 15:8 24
2 XV de Jau 12 7 3 2 22:9 24
3 Itapirense 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
4 Independente SP 12 6 1 5 21:11 19
5 Uniao Barbarense 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
7 Brasilis 12 1 3 8 5:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 AA Itarare 10 5 4 1 16:3 19
3 Assisense 10 4 4 2 11:6 16
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 9:7 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
6 Elosport 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 12 9 2 1 31:10 29
2 Sao Jose EC 12 6 5 1 22:13 23
3 Amparo SP 12 5 6 1 31:14 21
4 Jacarei FC 12 4 5 3 22:14 17
5 Uniao Mogi 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Manthiqueira 12 2 3 7 7:20 9
7 Atletico Mogi 12 0 1 11 8:45 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 12 7 2 3 20:12 23
2 Uniao Suzano 12 6 4 2 20:16 22
3 Guarulhos 12 6 3 3 15:8 21
4 Mauaense 12 5 5 2 16:8 20
5 Maua FC 12 4 4 4 10:13 16
6 Barcelona SP 12 2 4 6 11:18 10
7 Jabaquara 12 0 2 10 8:25 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)