Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2023

Manthiqueira

0 - 5

Maua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2023 game between Manthiqueira and Maua FC finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Manthiqueira

30%

Draws

34%

Maua FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Manthiqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Maua FC come out ahead of Manthiqueira on wins alone.
Manthiqueira are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 16%

Maua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Manthiqueira	Maua FC
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	13
Draws	4	9
Losses	16	9
Goals Scored	1.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paulista B

Manthiqueira vs Maua FC

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

4:2

Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B

Maua FC vs Manthiqueira

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

May 24, 2025 Paulista B

Manthiqueira vs Maua FC

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Apr 20, 2025 Paulista B

Maua FC vs Manthiqueira

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Jun 1, 2024 Paulista B

Manthiqueira vs Maua FC

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manthiqueira 36 / 100

Maua FC 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Manthiqueira Maua FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Manthiqueira found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Maua FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Manthiqueira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Manthiqueira VS Maua FC

1.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Penapolense	6	3	2	1	5:2	11
2	Francana	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
3	Jacarei FC	6	1	4	1	4:4	7
4	Amparo SP	6	2	0	4	6:10	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vocem	6	3	3	0	6:3	12
2	Taquaritinga	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Maua FC	6	1	3	2	9:6	6
4	Manthiqueira	6	1	0	5	2:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	XV de Jau	6	5	1	0	11:1	16
2	Uniao Barbarense	6	2	1	3	5:8	7
3	Tanabi	6	1	2	3	3:8	5
4	Mauaense	6	1	2	3	4:6	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA Brasil	6	4	2	0	21:1	14
2	Catanduva FC	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
3	Independente SP	6	3	0	3	6:9	9
4	Guarulhos	6	0	0	6	1:24	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Sao Joao	6	4	1	1	7:3	13
2	America SP	6	3	1	2	7:4	10
3	Nacional SP	6	3	1	2	7:5	10
4	Flamengo SP	6	0	1	5	1:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao-Carlense	6	3	3	0	9:2	12
2	Rio Branco SP	6	2	3	1	10:7	9
3	Jabaquara	6	2	2	2	8:6	8
4	Fernandopolis	6	1	0	5	3:15	3