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Mantova vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ruocco F.
21' Event
Ruocco F.
55' Event

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mantova
35%
Draws
28%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
  • Model gives Mantova a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mantova Clean Sheet 18%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Alcione Milano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Alcione Milano
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alcione Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 40 / 100
Alcione Milano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Mantova has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Alcione Milano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Alcione Milano

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
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