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Mantova vs Darfo Boario Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mantova
20%
Draws
22%
Darfo Boario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Darfo Boario.
  • Win probability leans Mantova's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Darfo Boario
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Mantova vs Darfo Boario
6:0
Dec 9, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Mantova
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 95 / 100
Darfo Boario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Darfo Boario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Darfo Boario conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Mantova remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
20 Sept
Mantova
2 : 2
Pisa
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
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Darfo Boario

(Away)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)