Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mantova vs Entella

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Mancuso L. In: Mensah D.
Out: Mancuso L.
31'
Modesto F.
45'
Marconi I.

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mantova
6%
Draws
4%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Entella.
  • Win probability leans Mantova's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Entella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Entella
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Entella
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Entella vs Mantova
1:0
Feb 5, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Entella vs Mantova
3:0
Sep 28, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Mantova vs Entella
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Entella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 95 / 100
Entella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Entella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Mantova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Entella
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
01 May
Mantova
3 : 2
Monza
25 Apr
Sudtirol
0 : 3
Mantova
18 Apr
Mantova
0 : 2
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

Entella

(Away)
25 Jul
Empoli
1 : 0
Entella
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Bari
2 : 0
Entella
25 Apr
Entella
1 : 0
Padova
19 Apr
Empoli
1 : 1
Entella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)