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Stadium Background

Mantova vs Entella

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Mancuso L. In: Mensah D.
Out: Mancuso L.
31'
Modesto F.
45'
Marconi I.

AI Match Summary

Mantova in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mantova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mantova
20%
Draws
23%
Entella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mantova have won more games recently than Entella.
  • Win probability leans Mantova's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mantova Clean Sheet 68%
Entella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mantova Entella
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Entella
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie B
Entella vs Mantova
1:0
Feb 5, 2012 Lega Pro C2/A
Entella vs Mantova
3:0
Sep 28, 2011 Lega Pro C2/A
Mantova vs Entella
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Marras T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Entella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mantova 50 / 100
Entella 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mantova Entella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mantova scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Entella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Mantova went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Entella registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mantova VS Entella
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mantova

(Home)
13 Sept
Mantova
2 : 0
Sampdoria
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
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Entella

(Away)
11 Sept
Pisa
1 : 4
Entella
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
22 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Entella
16 Aug
Verona
3 : 2
Entella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)