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Manurewa vs Wellington Olympic Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Ettema T.
45' Event
Munoz R.
50' Event
Stevens J.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Manurewa and Wellington Olympic finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Manurewa
15%
Draws
48%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Manurewa haven't matched Wellington Olympic's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Wellington Olympic a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Manurewa Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.46 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Manurewa
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 National League
Manurewa vs Wellington Olympic
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Manurewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patterson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ettema T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stevens J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Manurewa 10 / 100
Wellington Olympic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Manurewa Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wellington Olympic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Manurewa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Manurewa's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wellington Olympic
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Manurewa

(Home)
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0
Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2
Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0
Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 3

Wellington Olympic

(Away)
03 Oct
Wellington Olympic
1 : 2
Ferrymead Bays
27 Sept
Auckland FC 2
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3
Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 9 7 2 0 34:15 23
2 Auckland City 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
3 Christchurch 9 5 1 3 18:16 16
4 Eastern Suburbs 9 4 3 2 23:11 15
5 Manurewa 9 4 1 4 16:20 13
6 Cashmere Technical 9 4 1 4 24:24 13
7 Auckland United 9 2 4 3 15:17 10
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 3 0 6 19:24 9
9 Napier City 9 2 1 6 13:26 7
10 Petone 9 0 1 8 6:22 1
Promotion - National League 2023 (Grand Final)