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MapelloBonate vs Ciliverghe Mazzano Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 game between MapelloBonate and Ciliverghe Mazzano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciliverghe Mazzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
MapelloBonate
30%
Draws
23%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MapelloBonate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on MapelloBonate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 20%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Ciliverghe Mazzano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:1
Nov 22, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs MapelloBonate
3:2
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
0:1
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs MapelloBonate
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 85 / 100
Ciliverghe Mazzano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Ciliverghe Mazzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MapelloBonate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciliverghe Mazzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Difficult form: Ciliverghe Mazzano registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Away)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)