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MapelloBonate vs Monza Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 game between MapelloBonate and Monza finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
MapelloBonate
30%
Draws
39%
Monza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Monza come out ahead of MapelloBonate on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on MapelloBonate taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 16%
Monza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Monza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.93 2
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Monza
0:2
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Monza vs MapelloBonate
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 36 / 100
Monza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Monza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Monza has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

MapelloBonate's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: MapelloBonate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Monza
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6

Monza

(Away)
03 Oct
Brest
2 : 2
Monza
26 Sept
Monza
2 : 3
Cremonese
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)