Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MapelloBonate vs Pro Sesto Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 game between MapelloBonate and Pro Sesto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
MapelloBonate
15%
Draws
64%
Pro Sesto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pro Sesto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pro Sesto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pro Sesto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 19%
Pro Sesto Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MapelloBonate Pro Sesto
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Pro Sesto
1:1
Oct 4, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs MapelloBonate
2:1
Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs MapelloBonate
0:1
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Pro Sesto
2:1
Mar 23, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Pro Sesto vs MapelloBonate
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MapelloBonate 10 / 100
Pro Sesto 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MapelloBonate Pro Sesto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pro Sesto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

MapelloBonate found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Pro Sesto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

MapelloBonate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pro Sesto
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MapelloBonate

(Home)
08 May
MapelloBonate
0 : 0
Varesina
01 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
MapelloBonate
24 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 2
Monza
17 Apr
Pergolettese
0 : 2
MapelloBonate
10 Apr
MapelloBonate
0 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6

Pro Sesto

(Away)
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1
Oltrepo
20 Sept
Crema
0 : 3
Pro Sesto
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piacenza 38 30 6 2 85:27 96
2 Lecco 38 23 11 4 83:41 80
3 Seregno Calcio 38 18 10 10 63:47 64
4 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 18 7 13 48:49 61
5 Ponte San Pietro 38 17 10 11 63:48 61
6 Olginatese 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
7 Inveruno 38 15 8 15 65:57 53
8 Ciserano 38 13 14 11 48:55 53
9 Folgore Caratese 38 11 17 10 52:48 50
10 Monza 38 12 13 13 52:49 49
11 Grumellese 38 12 12 14 49:53 48
12 Pro Sesto 38 13 8 17 50:51 47
13 Varesina 38 11 14 13 42:49 47
14 Pergolettese 38 11 13 14 38:42 46
15 Bustese Milano City 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
16 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 12 9 17 44:61 45
17 Caravaggio 38 7 13 18 35:56 34
18 Fiorenzuola 38 5 18 15 28:51 33
19 MapelloBonate 38 6 13 19 36:59 31
20 Sondrio 38 6 9 23 39:73 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)