Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maqtaaral vs Aksu

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League 2023 Namys Stadium, Šymkent
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Junior A.
13' Event
Tursynbay S.
Assist: Sebaihi B.
21'
Zhaksybaev U.

AI Match Summary

Maqtaaral in this Premier League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maqtaaral.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Maqtaaral
15%
Draws
36%
Aksu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maqtaaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Maqtaaral have won more games recently than Aksu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 10%
Aksu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maqtaaral Aksu
Matches Played 30 6
Wins 9 2
Draws 5 0
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Aksu
2:0
Apr 1, 2023 Premier League
Aksu vs Maqtaaral
2:1
Sep 4, 2022 Premier League
Aksu vs Maqtaaral
4:2
Apr 17, 2022 Premier League
Maqtaaral vs Aksu
2:1
Sep 27, 2021 First League
Aksu vs Maqtaaral
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maqtaaral Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursynbay S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nyuiadzi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Aksu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maqtaaral 34 / 100
Aksu 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maqtaaral Aksu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aksu let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Maqtaaral scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Aksu has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maqtaaral VS Aksu
2 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maqtaaral

(Home)
15 Mar
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
Maqtaaral
19 Mar
Maqtaaral
0 : 2
SD Family
16 Mar
Ulytau
1 : 0
Maqtaaral
29 Oct
Okzhetpes
1 : 1
Maqtaaral
21 Oct
Maqtaaral
2 : 1
Kyzylzhar
Page 1 of 6

Aksu

(Away)
19 Mar
FK Kyran
2 : 5
Aksu
13 Mar
Aksu
0 : 3
Zhetisay
26 Feb
Aksu
1 : 3
Tyumen
29 Oct
Aksu
0 : 3
Tobol
23 Sept
Maqtaaral
2 : 0
Aksu
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 18 4 4 48:21 58
2 FC Astana 26 16 5 5 36:24 53
3 Aktobe 26 13 11 2 44:23 50
4 Kairat Almaty 26 12 8 6 44:32 44
5 Kyzylzhar 26 11 6 9 25:23 39
6 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 10 6 10 31:30 36
7 Atyrau 26 8 10 8 24:27 34
8 Tobol 26 9 7 10 29:33 34
9 Maqtaaral 26 8 5 13 29:32 29
10 Shakhter Karagandy 26 7 8 11 31:36 29
11 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 8 5 13 27:38 29
12 Okzhetpes 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Kaspij Aktau 26 4 8 14 28:44 20
14 Aksu 26 5 3 18 23:45 18
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