Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2015

Spartak Semey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maqtaaral play Spartak Semey in the First Division 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maqtaaral averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Spartak Semey averaged 1.37 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, Maqtaaral won 0, Spartak Semey won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 24, 2015 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Maqtaaral and 1.19 for Spartak Semey. This points to a Spartak Semey double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Maqtaaral

30%

Draws

41%

Spartak Semey

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Maqtaaral picked up more points recently compared to Spartak Semey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 20%

Spartak Semey Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maqtaaral	Spartak Semey
Matches Played	41	30
Wins	13	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	1.1	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.32	0.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 First League

Maqtaaral vs Spartak Semey

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Jul 11, 2015 First League

Spartak Semey vs Maqtaaral

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 16, 2013 First League

Maqtaaral vs Spartak Semey

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Apr 14, 2013 First League

Spartak Semey vs Maqtaaral

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maqtaaral 30 / 100

Spartak Semey 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maqtaaral Spartak Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Semey or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maqtaaral attacking → ← attacking Spartak Semey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maqtaaral scored in 68% of their last 41 games.

Spartak Semey let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Maqtaaral went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Semey lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 48

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Akzhayik Uralsk	24	17	2	5	60:21	53
2	Vostok Oskemen	24	15	5	4	37:22	50
3	Shakhtar Bulat	24	15	3	6	40:23	48
4	Kyzylzhar	24	14	4	6	41:19	46
5	Kaspij Aktau	24	12	7	5	35:18	43
6	Spartak Semey	24	11	6	7	34:19	39
7	FK Kyran	24	10	6	8	38:28	36
8	Maqtaaral	24	7	11	6	22:17	32
9	CSKA Almaty	24	8	3	13	29:46	27
10	FC Ekibastuz	24	7	5	12	21:31	26
11	Baykonur Kyzylorda	24	6	4	14	19:38	22
12	Bayterek Astana	24	2	4	18	13:52	10
13	Taraz-Karatau 2	24	2	0	22	4:59	6