Sport Picks
Mara Sugar vs Police FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Mara Sugar host Police FC in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Police FC have shipped 0.64 goals a game lately, while Mara Sugar have conceded 1.08 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Police FC slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.56, favoring Police FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Mara Sugar's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mara Sugar | Police FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 25 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 0.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mara Sugar scored in 67% of their last 24 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Mara Sugar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Police FC let in goals in 52% of their last 25 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mara Sugar
(Home)Police FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Mara Sugar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Leopards | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Shabana | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 6 | KCB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Muranga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 10 | 3K FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 11 | Nairobi United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 12 | Bandari | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 13 | Migori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 14 | Police FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 15 | Mathare United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
