Sport Picks
Maracaju vs Aguia Negra Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2020. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Maracaju at 1.14 goals for, 1.57 against; Aguia Negra at 1.32 for, 1.35 against. Past meetings favor Aguia Negra slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2020, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.38 - 0.88) back Aguia Negra to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Maracaju haven't matched Aguia Negra's recent run of results.
- 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Aguia Negra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Aguia Negra, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Aguia Negra have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maracaju | Aguia Negra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Maracaju's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Aguia Negra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Maracaju has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
