Sport Picks

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Maracana vs Horizonte

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estádio Almir Dutra, Maracanaú
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Ramos
38'
Daelson
45' Event
Max

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Maracana and Horizonte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horizonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Maracana
20%
Draws
7%
Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maracana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maracana come out ahead of Horizonte on wins alone.
  • Maracana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Maracana Clean Sheet 68%
Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracana Horizonte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Cearense
Maracana vs Horizonte
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Cearense
Maracana vs Horizonte
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Cearense
Horizonte vs Maracana
2:3
Jan 26, 2024 Cearense
Horizonte vs Maracana
1:3
Feb 14, 2013 Cearense
Horizonte vs Maracana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maracana Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Horizonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Max
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulinho Cearense
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracana 95 / 100
Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracana Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Horizonte let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Maracana scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Maracana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maracana VS Horizonte
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracana

(Home)
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Parnahyba
0 : 1
Maracana
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Horizonte

(Away)
11 Feb
Iguatu
3 : 1
Horizonte
07 Feb
Horizonte
0 : 1
Floresta EC
01 Feb
Ceara
4 : 0
Horizonte
27 Jan
Iguatu
1 : 1
Horizonte
22 Jan
Horizonte
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Ferroviario 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Horizonte 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Maracana 4 0 0 4 1:5 0
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Floresta EC 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
3 Iguatu 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Maranguape 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
5 Tirol 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)